Those that are investing in the new Tld launches (As owners of the extension) have very little to loose -Sure the costs are high, but the rewards for even small take-up outweigh the costs.
My take on it:
There are plenty of alternative extensions available on the market, if you don't want to buy a premium .com the options are infinite already.
There is very little demand for new extensions, remember it's a solution to a problem that doesn't exist.
Very few of the new TLDs will attain critical mass and they will all be diluted because there are so many.
So maybe, consumers will become more open to new extensions, but they will not remember them.
I also think the impact of gTLDs is overstated because the ccTLDs have become pervasive.
Agree with quite a lot of what you've said, all interesting points. The cctld vs. new gtld scenario has been on my mind too.
I disagree with notion that there's "plenty of alternative extensions". I think the fact that many domainers here are able to charge £xx,xxx - xxx,xxx for their domains shows the limited supply in a market that has conflagrated around .com or .co.uk.
I suppose you could use the following against me, but the fact that Donuts settled for Donuts.co, Twitter settled for Vine.co, shows how difficult it is getting the appropriate .com for your company.
If you have 100 companies in different industries called "green", only one of them can own Green.com or .co.uk. Where as with new gTLDs, the accountant can have Green.accountant, the lawyer can get Green.law, the sports team can get Green.sports, the environmentalists can get Green.eco etc.
Having an extension representing different industries and communities will only empower those sects and individuals.
.info/.biz/.pro etc never really took off with brands become they were trying to compete directly with .com. .Biz was trying to be an extension for business, .info was trying to be an extension for information (which most sites are anyway).
New gTLDs like .music aren't directly competing with .com, instead they're enlarging the internet and giving more options for those in the music industry. I think the reason Donuts LLC have applied for so many domains is because the more new gTLDs that become available, the more it segregates the internet and the less likely .com will be the catch-all domain for everyone.
I still don't understand the dilution argument. Again, 99% of these new gTLDs aren't designed to be catch-all extensions like dotcom. Hence, they aren't competing with one another as they all represent different markets. It's like saying building more synagogues will dilute the value of Mosques and churches.
Absolutely, each domain name is unique. There is only one green.com, only one green.co.uk. Only one party will own them. Possibly forever !If you have 100 companies in different industries called "green", only one of them can own Green.com or .co.uk.
Where as with new gTLDs, the accountant can have Green.accountant, the lawyer can get Green.law, the sports team can get Green.sports, the environmentalists can get Green.eco etc.
Without followers, synagogues will remain empty.I still don't understand the dilution argument. Again, 99% of these new gTLDs aren't designed to be catch-all extensions like dotcom. Hence, they aren't competing with one another as they all represent different markets. It's like saying building more synagogues will dilute the value of Mosques and churches.
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